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Week 14 (1/19 - 1/25)

5 min read Week 14

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Around The League

The Western Conference standings remain relatively stable at the top, with the Thunder, Spurs, and Nuggets continuing to occupy the first three seeds. In the East, the Knicks have struggled recently, posting a 2-8 record over their last ten games. Their losing streak was extended on Saturday following a home loss to the Phoenix Suns, causing them to lose ground in the race for a top seed. Outside of the standings, trade rumors are intensifying as the league is now less than 20 days away from the trade deadline and high-profile names including Anthony Davis, Ja Morant, and Giannis Antetokounmpo have been linked to potential moves. Now, let's dive into this week's data-driven insights to give you the edge you need to dominate your matchup.

This Week's Highlights

  • Schedule Advantage (4 Games no B2B): MIA (exception - 5 games), BKN, DET, MIL, OKC
  • Waiver-Wire Top Adds: Collin Murray-Boyles, Jalen Smith, Dwight Powell
  • Rotation Report:⬆️ Aaron Wiggins (Williams injury)⬇️ Cam Spencer (Morant return from injury)

The Weekly Slate

The majority of teams play 3 or 4 games this week, the Heat being a rare exception with 5 games. Fantasy managers should prioritize players from the following 4-game teams who avoid a back-to-back set, minimizing the likelihood of a planned rest day.

  • Miami Heat (Exception - 5 games)
  • Brooklyn Nets
  • Detroit Pistons
  • Milwaukee Bucks
  • Oklahoma City Thunder

Owning The Waiver Wire

Here are the top players to target this week based on recent trends and their upcoming schedule.

Our top pick for 10-team leagues 

Collin Murray-Boyles (TOR - PF): (Rostered: 22% ESPN, 31% Yahoo) 

  • Weekly Schedule: @GS, @SAC, @POR, @OKC
  • Recent Trends: Murray-Boyles has filled in admirably at center since Jakob Poeltl has been injured and has averaged 10.5 points, 7.9 rebounds, 1.5 steals, and 1.1 blocks on 55% shooting in his last 15 days. Poeltl is still dealing with injury and even if he returns later next week, Murray-Boyles is a strong stream. 

Our top pick for 12-team leagues

Jalen Smith (CHI - PF, C): (Rostered: 9% ESPN, 20% Yahoo) 

  • Weekly Schedule: LAC, @MIN, BOS
  • Recent Trends: Smith has been averaging 10.5 points, 8.2 rebounds, and 1.5 blocks a game over the last 15 days and has been placed into the starting lineup with the injury to Josh Giddey. Smith saw a season-high 35 minutes on Friday and continues to have an upward trend in minutes. 

Our top pick for 14-team leagues

Dwight Powell (DAL - C): (Rostered: 1% ESPN, 1% Yahoo) 

  • Weekly Schedule: @NY, GS, LAL, @MIL
  • Recent Trends: Powell has been inserted into the starting lineup with the injuries to Anthony Davis, Daniel Gafford, and Dereck Lively. Over his last 7 days, he is averaging 6.5 points, 7.5 rebounds, and 1.3 steals in 26 minutes a game. Stream him while he still starts. 

Top Players For Each Category

Tier key:
10-team ≈ 30-40% rostered
12-team ≈ 10-20% rostered
14-team ≈ 0-10% rostered

POINTS
10-team: Brice Sensabaugh (UTA), Naji Marshall (DAL)
12-team: Tim Hardaway Jr. (DEN), Miles McBride (NYK)
14-team: Duncan Robinson (DET), Sam Hauser (BOS)

REBOUNDS
10-team: Collin Murray-Boyles (TOR), Wendell Carter Jr. (ORL)
12-team: Jalen Smith (CHI), Moussa Diabate (CHA)
14-team: Moussa Cisse (DAL), Mitchell Robinson (NYK)

ASSISTS
10-team: Cam Spencer (MEM), Tre Jones (CHI)
12-team: Caleb Love (POR), T.J. McConnell (IND)
14-team: Jamal Shead (TOR), Bub Carrington (WAS)

STEALS
10-team: Naji Marshall (DAL), Collin Murray-Boyles (TOR)
12-team: Marcus Smart (LAL), Jake LaRavia (LAL)
14-team: Javonte Green (DET), Kris Dunn (LAC)

BLOCKS
10-team: Jay Huff (IND), Moussa Diabate (CHA)
12-team: Isaiah Stewart (DET), Precious Achiuwa (SAC)
14-team: Moussa Cisse (DAL), Yves Missi (NOR)

3-POINTERS
10-team: Egor Demin (BKN), Klay Thompson (DAL)
12-team: Tim Hardaway Jr. (DEN), Miles McBride (NYK)
14-team: Sam Hauser (BOS), Duncan Robinson (DET) 

FIELD GOAL %
10-team: Naji Marshall (DAL), Neemias Queta (BOS)
12-team: Jaylon Tyson (CLE), Maxime Raynaud (SAC)
14-team: Dwight Powell (DAL), Goga Bitadze (ORL)

The Trade Market

Take advantage of fluctuating player values by targeting players in slumps and selling those who are overperforming.

Buy Low

Alperen Sengun (HOU - C)

  • The Slump: Over the past month, Sengun is averaging only 17.0 points, 8.5 rebounds, and 4.7 assists on 54% shooting from the floor and 58% from the free-throw line. He is providing 13th-round value. 
  • StatCats Take: Sengun has been struggling over the past month as he recovers from an injury and has yet to get back in his groove. Look to buy-low on him and wait for him to bounce-back to top 25 value. 

Ivica Zubac (LAC - C)

  • The Slump: Zubac has provided 17th-round value over the past month, with averages of 11.0 points, 8.5 rebounds, and 0.8 blocks on 61% shooting. 
  • StatCats Take: Zubac is on this list for the second straight week after he recently returned from an ankle injury that kept him out for a five-game stretch. Kawhi Leonard just got back on the injury list which should let Zubac work his way back into more usage and get back to his pre-injury form. 

Sell High

Jusuf Nurkic (UTA - C)

  • The Surge: Over the past month, Nurkic has been on fire, averaging 15.8 points, 11.5 rebounds, 5.3 assists, and 1.3 steals on 58% shooting, which ranks him 14th.
  • StatCats Take: Nurkic has been a top-50 contributor this season when healthy as a replacement to Walker Kessler and has been showing it recently. He’s been playing his best basketball of the season and with the shutdown risk of the Jazz, you can look to move him for a top 40 player if possible.  

Anthony Black (ORL - PG/SG)

  • The Surge: Over the past month, Black has averaged 20.5 points, 2.5 triples, 5.5 assists, and 1.2 steals on 50% shooting from the floor. Ranked 39th in that span. 
  • StatCats Take: Black has become a bright spot for Orlando this season and has thrown himself into fantasy relevance. He is getting higher usage right now with Jalen Suggs sidelined, so he is a good candidate to see if you can move. 

Injury & Rotation Report 

Recent Notable Injuries

  • Kawhi Leonard (LAC - SF, PF): Out for Monday & Tuesday (Right Ankle)
    • ⬆️ Increased Role: Kobe Sanders should remain in the Clipper’s starting five during Leonard’s absence 
  • Jalen Williams (OKC - PF, SF, C): Out Monday (at least) (Right Hamstring)
    • ⬆️ Increased Role: Aaron Wiggins will take on more minutes if Williams remains out; Alex Caruso should also see a boost in playing time 

Returning to Action

  • Ja Morant (MEM - PG): Returned 1/18
    • ⬇️ Decreased Role: Cam Spencer returned to the bench and should see a reduction in minutes
  • Jalen Green (PHX - SG): Likely returning this week 
    • ⬇️ Decreased Role: Collin Gillespie, Dillon Brooks and Grayson Allen should be most affected minutes-wise